3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,954 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,507/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$316
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,456/yr
Cap rate
20.41%
Cash-on-cash
50.42%
DSCR
3.24
1% rule
2.52%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment F.
Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $60k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 10.0% in McKees Rocks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E2JRP1C905HNXE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29