4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,426 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,526
Tax + insurance
−$551
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$452
Net cashflow
$-376/mo
Annual
$-4,511/yr
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$81,477
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $291k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-376 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (18.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 622 students, 56% FRL); Murdock Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 577 students, 56% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 695 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $291k implies a 1719% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.8% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E2TK93E7X3R4XT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29