6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,920 sqft ·
Built 1962
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,916/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$435
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$612
Net cashflow
$563/mo
Annual
$6,760/yr
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.70%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $249k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $282/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,916/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: flooring
— Exposed subflooring
Major: paint
— Peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-E2W1Z65GAV05WM
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29