3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,653 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,176
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$-901/mo
Annual
$-10,809/yr
Cap rate
3.69%
Cash-on-cash
-9.30%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$116,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $415k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-901 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (38.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (48.4% below list).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($390k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (48.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in MO, #3,695 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hawthorn Elem. (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B, #98 of 1,115 statewide, top 10%, 452 students, 19% FRL); Plaza Middle (math 37% / reading 51%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 715 students, 30% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$71k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 1.6% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E3M0HF18H9JQV8
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29