9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
3,288 sqft ·
Built 1984
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,434/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$533
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$931
Net cashflow
$1,291/mo
Annual
$15,497/yr
Cap rate
11.14%
Cash-on-cash
17.30%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $320k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $430/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $320k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Guerrero El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 395 students, 76% FRL); Brown Middle (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 718 students, 70% FRL); Franklin H S (math 45% / reading 63%, grade C-, #422 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,149 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,434/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 3448% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and tear visible in the satellite image.
Moderate: exterior walls
— Discoloration and wear visible in the independent image.
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Dated fixtures in the interior photos suggest a need for replacement or updating.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29