1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$205
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$155
Net cashflow
$310/mo
Annual
$3,723/yr
Cap rate
15.84%
Cash-on-cash
34.09%
DSCR
2.52
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$10,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($736 rent vs $39k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($270 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#577 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Holmes (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #53 of 73 in FL (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ponce De Leon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 308 students, 58% FRL); Holmes County High School (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 453 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12 units permitted in Holmes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Holmes County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $39k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.8% in Bonifay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29