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509 W North Ave
B+ Composite 79.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$39,000

509 W North Ave · Bonifay, FL 32425
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1950 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer-Upper Opportunity on West North Avenue - Bonifay, Florida Unlock the potential of this versatile property located on highly visible West North Avenue in the growing community of Bonifay. Situated on approximately 0.25 acre (+/-) to be determined by survey, this property offers an excellent opportunity for investors, builders, small business owners, or buyers looking for an affordable renovation project. The property features an existing block construction home that could be restored and renovated or removed to make way for new development. Also included is a utility building that provides additional storage or workspace potential. A power pole is already in place, and the property

Key facts

  • Excellent visibility
  • Access to city water
  • Utility building

Tags

UTILITY BUILDINGACCESS TO CITY WATERPROMINENT ROAD FRONTAGEEXCELLENT VISIBILITYMIXED-USE ZONINGFLEXIBILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Block construction
  • Construction: Metal roof; Block construction
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); City street frontage on a public maintained road; Irregular lot shape

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($736 rent vs $39k).
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.8% in Bonifay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#577 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Holmes (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #53 of 73 in FL (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ponce De Leon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 308 students, 58% FRL); Holmes County High School (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 453 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12 units permitted in Holmes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($270 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Holmes County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $39k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.84%
Cash-on-cash
34.09%
DSCR
2.52
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$20,880
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
611 S Varner St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+7%) 14mo $22,000 $29 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.4%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$41,013
Equity at exit
$35,134
10-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
10.64×
Total profit
$105,261
Equity at exit
$75,768

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32425

Home prices YoY
16.2%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $607/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$155
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $344
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $321 +0% $310 +5% $299 +10% $288
Rent -10% $252 -5% $281 +0% $310 +5% $339 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $320 base $310 +0.5pp $300 +1.0pp $290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Hill Loop Bonifay, FL 1.0 1.0 532 $700 $1.32 22d 1 1.04mi
109 Hill Loop Bonifay, FL 1.0 1.0 732 $750 $1.02 22d 1 1.04mi
117 Hill Loop Bonifay, FL 1.0 1.0 702 $750 $1.07 22d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $39,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $39,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $55,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$607 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$607 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,835
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$607
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$707
− Management
−$707
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$3,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$792
After-tax cash flow
$2,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holmes
NCES district ID
1200900
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$35,365
Composite
36.83/100
National rank
#4558
State rank
#53 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bonifay

Score
67/100
State rank
#577
US rank
#10976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bonifay, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,944

Population outlook (Holmes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,963 people
By 2030
17,245 · -4.0%
By 2040
15,970 · -11.1%
By 2050
14,905 · -17.0%
By 2075
12,327 · -31.4%
By 2100
9,760 · -45.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Holmes

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.2) · D 9.7% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -65.0pp · 2024: -80.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.2 2020: R+78.9 2016: R+77.9 2012: R+68.3 2008: R+65.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.87%
Current HPI
322.29
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $55,000 CPARMLS
  • 2010-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…