3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,775/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$583
Net cashflow
$836/mo
Annual
$10,036/yr
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.59%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#154 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D, commute F.
Talbot County Public Schools (town): math 15% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #12 of 24 in MD (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Easton Elementary (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #477 of 860 statewide, top 59%, 1,078 students, 76% FRL); Easton Middle (math 9% / reading 32%, grade F, #141 of 225 statewide, top 65%, 737 students, 62% FRL); Easton High (math 40% / reading 65%, grade C-, #98 of 222 statewide, top 44%, 1,203 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 37% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 158 units permitted in Talbot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Talbot County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $230k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.8% in Easton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E472KS5MRYJ16C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29