2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
948 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$132/mo
Annual
$1,585/yr
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.10%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $70k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#713 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Villa Grove CUSD 302 (rural): math 15% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #464 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Villa Grove Elem School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 342 students, 0% FRL); Villa Grove High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 201 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $48k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E4DN4YBYRJS058
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29