3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,600 sqft ·
Built 1898
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,642/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$750
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,185
Net cashflow
$1,347/mo
Annual
$16,168/yr
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.83%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $450k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $450k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $443k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#22 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, commute F.
Las Vegas City Public Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #52 of 95 in NM (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP.
San Miguel County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— slight discoloration
Moderate: exterior siding
— visible wear
Unknown: HVAC system
— not visible
CashFlowRE · CFR-E63EAWFH1RS58M
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29