4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,454 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 160 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$412
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$436/mo
Annual
$5,236/yr
Cap rate
12.96%
Cash-on-cash
23.82%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$21,980
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($543 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#134 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Jac-Cen-Del Community School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #185 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jac-Cen-Del Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #577 of 994 statewide, top 59%, 390 students, 55% FRL); Jac-Cen-Del Ms/Hs (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 383 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 33% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Ripley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ripley County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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