5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,892 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,338/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,374
Tax + insurance
−$437
HOA
−$23
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$13/mo
Annual
$159/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$73,360
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $262k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($159/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (10.8% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Piedmont (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 270 in OK (top 3%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Northwood Es (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #84 of 845 statewide, top 11%, 469 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Hs (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #24 of 447 statewide, top 5%, 1,422 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 496 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E7BXC4CMD5QM99
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29