2403 Airport Rd

Fort Clark Springs, TX 78832

$105,000C-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,812 sqft · Built 1984 · Manufactured · Active · 675 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $912/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax + insurance: −$106
• HOA: −$100
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$191
• Net cashflow: $-36/mo
• Annual: $-432/yr
• Cap rate: 5.88%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.47%
• DSCR: 0.93
• 1% rule: 0.87%
• Cash to close: $29,400

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-432/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $99k (6.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (13.2% below list).
• It's been on market 675 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $91k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Brackett ISD (town): math 34% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #363 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Jones Elementary/Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 266 students, 66% FRL); Brackett J H (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 122 students, 68% FRL); Brackett H S (math 15% / reading 74%, grade D-, #651 of 1,632 statewide, top 40%, 164 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Kinney County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Clark Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 675 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.