2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Active
· 191 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,762/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$836
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$302
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-149/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.33%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$44,660
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-149/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (1.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
Oak Lawn Chsd 229 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #384 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: George W Lieb Elem School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 383 students, 0% FRL); Simmons Middle School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #450 of 665 statewide, top 69%, 751 students, 0% FRL); Oak Lawn Comm High School (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,834 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 65d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Oak Lawn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29