3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$648/mo
Annual
$7,778/yr
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.52%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in ID, #1,176 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eliza Hart Spalding Stem Academy (math 65% / reading 65%, grade B+, #41 of 357 statewide, top 12%, 678 students, 17% FRL); Meridian Middle School (math 38% / reading 58%, grade C-, #39 of 109 statewide, top 36%, 1,078 students, 42% FRL); Mountain View High School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #21 of 169 statewide, top 13%, 2,462 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 762 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
24 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.1% in Meridian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Old and worn
Major: Bathrooms
— Need updating
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered
CashFlowRE · CFR-E819MM68JGW1NY
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29