3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,164 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$511
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$415
Net cashflow
$929/mo
Annual
$11,145/yr
Cap rate
17.72%
Cash-on-cash
40.82%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$27,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $674 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Meadowthorpe Elementary School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade C, #63 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 480 students, 49% FRL); Leestown Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #91 of 217 statewide, top 43%, 966 students, 52% FRL); Bryan Station High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #209 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 1,893 students, 59% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E8Q2RX1J8YV6PW
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29