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122 Leesway Dr
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,500

122 Leesway Dr · Lexington-Fayette, KY 40511
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1952 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Absolute Auction Live On-Site Saturday, June 6th at 9:00 am Sharp. Doors will open at 8:00 am for final preview. Selling to the Highest Bidder Regardless of Listing Price. Estate Property-Contracted to Sell at Absolute Auction Only. Offers Prior to Auction Will Not Be Entertained. Please Visit www. bluegrassauction.com for Registration Form & Complete Terms & Conditions. This Generous . 294 Acre Lot Boasts a 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath Home with spacious finished basement, Sun Room, Open Living & Dining, Dine-In Kitchen. Exterior Features: Spacious Lightly Shaded Back Yard with Detached 2 Car Garage with Upper Garage Bonus Area. Don't Wait. .. .Book Your Showing Today! Chuck M

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1952

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway and off-street parking; Garage faces the front
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: House; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof; Block foundation; Total building area approximately 2,328
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) and other outbuildings; Partial chain link fencing; Few trees on the lot; Not waterfront, no notable view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Vented exhaust fan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Finished walk-out basement with interior entry; Basement has a stubbed/full bath; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Meadowthorpe Elementary School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade C, #63 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 480 students, 49% FRL); Leestown Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #91 of 217 statewide, top 43%, 966 students, 52% FRL); Bryan Station High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #209 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 1,893 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $674 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,037 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.72%
Cash-on-cash
40.82%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,736
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
268 Ferndale Pass 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,126 (-3%) 0mo $280,150 $249 82
2705 Michelle Park 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,165 (+0%) 4mo $220,000 $189 77
2561 Michelle Park 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+7%) 9mo $280,000 $224 71
2776 Trailwood Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,242 (+7%) 1mo $280,000 $225 70
224 White Oak Trce 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,164 (0%) 4mo $260,000 $223 69
2517 Buck Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+10%) 2mo $272,000 $213 67
2617 Buck Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,333 (+14%) 6mo $268,000 $201 60
236 Woodbrook Pl 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,276 (+10%) 2mo $298,000 $234 52
101 White Oak Trce 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,322 (+14%) 7mo $310,000 $234 49
221 Old Woolen Mill Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+13%) 6mo $275,000 $209 48
437 Lucille Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+9%) 4mo $247,500 $195 46
2988 Masters View Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,268 (+9%) 9mo $305,000 $241 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$45,242
Equity at exit
$14,538
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$123,466
Equity at exit
$8,430

Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40511

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$511
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $959/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$929

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $97,500
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $984 -5% $956 +0% $929 +5% $901 +10% $874
Rent -10% $773 -5% $851 +0% $929 +5% $1,007 +10% $1,085
Rate -1.0pp $978 -0.5pp $954 base $929 +0.5pp $903 +1.0pp $878

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,375
Closing costs
$2,925
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2740 Michelle Park Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1133 $1,795 $1.58 24d 1 0.25mi
2740 Hayden Park Ln Lexington, KY 2.0 2.5 1134 $1,550 $1.37 24d 1 0.33mi
2720 Hayden Park Ln Lexington, KY 2.0 2.5 1176 $1,600 $1.36 14d 1 0.34mi
333 Spring Valley Ln Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,895 $1.41 24d 1 0.36mi
2880 Summerfield Dr Lexington, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 911 $2,195 $2.41 14d 13 0.36mi
2945 Trailwood Ln Lexington, KY 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1754 $1,835 $1.05 14d 26 0.67mi
3021 Caddis Ln Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 24d 1 0.80mi
1024 Greendale Rd Lexington, KY 2.0–3.0 2.0 1307 $1,765 $1.35 24d 4 1.39mi
149 Old Towne Walk Lexington, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 906 $1,964 $2.17 24d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $97,500 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $97,500 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,500 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $97,500 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,500 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $97,500 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-05-08
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$959 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$959 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,705
− Mortgage interest
−$5,462
− Property taxes
−$959
− Insurance
−$488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$2,836
Taxable income
$10,168
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,440
After-tax cash flow
$8,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County
NCES district ID
2101860
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$49,245
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5211
State rank
#27 of 165 in KY

Livability — Lexington-Fayette

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lexington-Fayette, KY
County
Fayette County · 317,143 people
City population
321,882
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
Population (ZIP)
38,176
Household income
$79,540
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
1195.0

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
363,454 people
By 2030
388,270 · +6.8%
By 2040
438,688 · +20.7%
By 2050
490,667 · +35.0%
By 2075
625,394 · +72.1%
By 2100
721,354 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, India
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.18%
Current HPI
247.0959
Rent YoY
▲ 3.94%
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $100,000 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2015): $959 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…