122 Leesway Dr · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Absolute Auction Live On-Site Saturday, June 6th at 9:00 am Sharp. Doors will open at 8:00 am for final preview. Selling to the Highest Bidder Regardless of Listing Price. Estate Property-Contracted to Sell at Absolute Auction Only. Offers Prior to Auction Will Not Be Entertained. Please Visit www. bluegrassauction.com for Registration Form & Complete Terms & Conditions. This Generous . 294 Acre Lot Boasts a 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath Home with spacious finished basement, Sun Room, Open Living & Dining, Dine-In Kitchen. Exterior Features: Spacious Lightly Shaded Back Yard with Detached 2 Car Garage with Upper Garage Bonus Area. Don't Wait. .. .Book Your Showing Today! Chuck M
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway and off-street parking; Garage faces the front
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: House; Two levels
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof; Block foundation; Total building area approximately 2,328
- Exterior features: Shed(s) and other outbuildings; Partial chain link fencing; Few trees on the lot; Not waterfront, no notable view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Vented exhaust fan
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Finished walk-out basement with interior entry; Basement has a stubbed/full bath; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Meadowthorpe Elementary School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade C, #63 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 480 students, 49% FRL); Leestown Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #91 of 217 statewide, top 43%, 966 students, 52% FRL); Bryan Station High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #209 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 1,893 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $674 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.82%
- DSCR
- 2.82
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 Ferndale Pass | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,126 (-3%) | 0mo | $280,150 | $249 | 82 |
| 2705 Michelle Park | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,165 (+0%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $189 | 77 |
| 2561 Michelle Park | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+7%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $224 | 71 |
| 2776 Trailwood Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+7%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $225 | 70 |
| 224 White Oak Trce | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (0%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $223 | 69 |
| 2517 Buck Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+10%) | 2mo | $272,000 | $213 | 67 |
| 2617 Buck Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (+14%) | 6mo | $268,000 | $201 | 60 |
| 236 Woodbrook Pl | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+10%) | 2mo | $298,000 | $234 | 52 |
| 101 White Oak Trce | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+14%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $234 | 49 |
| 221 Old Woolen Mill Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+13%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $209 | 48 |
| 437 Lucille Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,268 (+9%) | 4mo | $247,500 | $195 | 46 |
| 2988 Masters View Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+9%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $241 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $45,242
- Equity at exit
- $14,538
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $123,466
- Equity at exit
- $8,430
Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40511
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$511
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $959/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $929
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $984 | -5% $956 | +0% $929 | +5% $901 | +10% $874 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $773 | -5% $851 | +0% $929 | +5% $1,007 | +10% $1,085 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $954 | base $929 | +0.5pp $903 | +1.0pp $878 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,375
- Closing costs
- $2,925
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2740 Michelle Park Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,795 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2740 Hayden Park Ln Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1134 | $1,550 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2720 Hayden Park Ln Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1176 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 333 Spring Valley Ln Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2880 Summerfield Dr Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 911 | $2,195 | $2.41 | 14d | 13 | 0.36mi |
| 2945 Trailwood Ln Lexington, KY | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1754 | $1,835 | $1.05 | 14d | 26 | 0.67mi |
| 3021 Caddis Ln Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1024 Greendale Rd Lexington, KY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,765 | $1.35 | 24d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 149 Old Towne Walk Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 906 | $1,964 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $97,500 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $97,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $97,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $959 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $959 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,705
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,462
- − Property taxes
- −$959
- − Insurance
- −$488
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$2,836
- Taxable income
- $10,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,440
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 2101860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,245
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5211
- State rank
- #27 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- County
- Fayette County · 317,143 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,176
- Household income
- $79,540
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1195.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 363,454 people
- By 2030
- 388,270 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 438,688 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 490,667 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 625,394 · +72.1%
- By 2100
- 721,354 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.18%
- Current HPI
- 247.0959
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.94%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $100,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2015): $959 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…