3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,485 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$553
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$446
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-963/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-963/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (6.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#243 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Mansfield ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Annette Perry El (math 44% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 522 students, 48% FRL); Rogene Worley Middle (math 46% / reading 51%, grade C-, #392 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 686 students, 48% FRL); Mansfield Lake Ridge H S (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #163 of 1,632 statewide, top 11%, 2,653 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 740 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $230k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E9J028128RXX8J
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29