3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,256 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 318 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$103
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-71/mo
Annual
$-847/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-847/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (3.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#324 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Labelle Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 437 students, 77% FRL); Labelle Middle School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 817 students, 72% FRL); Labelle High School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,451 students, 62% FRL).
Market conditions: 950 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in LaBelle — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,359/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29