3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,248/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$204
HOA
−$245
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-475/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-475/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (6.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#281 in PA, #2,496 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
Southern Tioga SD (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29