88 W Elmira St · Mansfield, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.
Key facts
- Large kitchen
- Corner lot
- Built 2002
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $245 monthly fee (rented lot $245/mo)
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking; Gravel parking available
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; R-2 medium density zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built by Commodore Timberland
- Exterior features: Level lot; No notable exterior amenities listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Linoleum; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan cooling (no central AC)
- Interior features: Bar; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-475/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (6.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#281 in PA, #2,496 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Southern Tioga SD (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,412
- Equity at exit
- $45,740
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $34,650
- Equity at exit
- $67,724
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16933
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,248 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,097/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$245
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $245 · $2,940/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-12$110,000 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.
-
2026-05-12$110,000 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (733 chars)
MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,097 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 29.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,097
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,198
- − Management
- −$1,198
- − HOA
- −$2,940
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$2,166
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$520
- After-tax cash flow
- $44/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Tioga SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,260
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6451
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #281
- US rank
- #2496
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,550
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,253 people
- By 2030
- 38,795 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 35,376 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,081 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 24,341 · -39.5%
- By 2100
- 17,180 · -57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Current HPI
- 275.9005
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 WBVAR
- 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 NMPA
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,097 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…