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88 W Elmira St
C- Composite 51.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

88 W Elmira St · Mansfield, PA 16933
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2002 $245/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Corner lot
  • Built 2002

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE KITCHENMULTIPLE COUNTER SECTIONSISLAND-BAR SITTING SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $245 monthly fee (rented lot $245/mo)

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking; Gravel parking available
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; R-2 medium density zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built by Commodore Timberland
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No notable exterior amenities listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Linoleum; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan cooling (no central AC)
  • Interior features: Bar; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-475/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (6.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#281 in PA, #2,496 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
  • Southern Tioga SD (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,001 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$7,412
Equity at exit
$45,740
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$34,650
Equity at exit
$67,724

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16933

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,248 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,097/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$245
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $103,001
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$245 · $2,940/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $110,000 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.

  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $110,000 Active 705-char remark
    Show marketing remark (733 chars)

    MANSFIELD, PA - This home was made for living! Extra-Large 2002 Commodore Timberline 28x64 Double Wide Manufactured Home, located on a nice corner rented lot, in-town and convenient to everything! Lot rent is $245/month. This well maintained home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Bath, Laundry Room and 2 Formal Living Room spaces. The large Kitchen features multiple counter sections and island-bar sitting space. Located near the walking paths to the Lambs Creek Boat Launch area. If you are looking for a large home that is an easy commute to the highway system or around town, come take a look! Mansfield, PA is a bright community with many public and community events throughout the year. Home of Commonwealth University - Mansfield.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,097 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,418 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$320/yr (+$27/mo · 29.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,976
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,097
− Insurance
−$1,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,198
− Management
−$1,198
− HOA
−$2,940
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$2,166
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$520
After-tax cash flow
$44/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Tioga SD
NCES district ID
4222370
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,260
Composite
29.72/100
National rank
#6451
State rank
#421 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mansfield

Score
78/100
State rank
#281
US rank
#2496

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mansfield, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,550

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,253 people
By 2030
38,795 · -3.6%
By 2040
35,376 · -12.1%
By 2050
32,081 · -20.3%
By 2075
24,341 · -39.5%
By 2100
17,180 · -57.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.39%
Current HPI
275.9005
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 WBVAR
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $110,000 NMPA

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,097 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…