306 bd · 289.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1943
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$47,373/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,706
Tax + insurance
−$4,992
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,948
Net cashflow
$16,727/mo
Annual
$200,723/yr
Cap rate
12.99%
Cash-on-cash
23.94%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$838,600
Investor read
This is a 17 × 18-bed/17.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.00M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17k ($201k/yr) — positive. Per door: $984/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($47k rent vs $3.00M).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.64M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Glencoe Elementary School (394 students, 18% FRL); Mt Tabor Middle School (606 students, 15% FRL); Franklin High School (1,966 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $839k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $47,373/mo this rent would consume 652% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1946% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EBVYT86Y6QNFM8
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29