2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
965 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,543/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$534
Net cashflow
$1,178/mo
Annual
$14,132/yr
Cap rate
37.70%
Cash-on-cash
112.16%
DSCR
5.99
1% rule
5.65%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#85 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Mascoma Valley Reg School District (rural): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in NH (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Enfield Village School (math 74% / reading 74%, grade A, #13 of 263 statewide, top 6%, 214 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 74% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mascoma Valley Reg School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 1.9% in Enfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EBW88Q2XBPDA7G
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29