3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Other
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,406/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$679
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-888/yr
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.97%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
1.76%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-888/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $67k (16.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $67k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#78 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Laurel H S (town): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #253 of 339 in MT (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Laurel High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #70 of 132 statewide, top 55%, 619 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.8% in Laurel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ED871W5R262HNF
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29