2077 Pueblo Dr

Xenia, OH 45385

$189,900D

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 992 sqft · Built 1967 · SingleFamily · Pending · 50 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,561/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax + insurance: −$232
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$328
• Net cashflow: $6/mo
• Annual: $69/yr
• Cap rate: 6.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.13%
• DSCR: 1.01
• 1% rule: 0.82%
• Cash to close: $53,172

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($69/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (17.8% below list).
• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $156k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
• Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Arrowood Elementary (math 55% / reading 50%, grade C-, #846 of 1,584 statewide, top 54%, 419 students, 0% FRL); Warner Middle School (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #511 of 654 statewide, top 79%, 848 students, 0% FRL); Xenia High School (math 25% / reading 63%, grade F, #489 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 985 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 16% FRL vs 50% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Current owner paid $82k; list at $190k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.