2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,330 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,089/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$38/mo
Annual
$451/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($451/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Alcester-Hudson School District 61-1 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #122 of 148 in SD (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alcester-Hudson Elementary - 04 (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #144 of 253 statewide, top 63%, 195 students, 25% FRL); Alcester-Hudson Jr. High - 03 (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #102 of 143 statewide, top 76%, 53 students, 34% FRL); Alcester-Hudson High School - 01 (math 10% / reading 90%, grade D+, #67 of 151 statewide, top 45%, 104 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EGW1XJEPP5TEW7
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29