3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,492 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,230/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$122
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$640/mo
Annual
$7,685/yr
Cap rate
27.22%
Cash-on-cash
74.76%
DSCR
4.33
1% rule
3.08%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#786 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Odessa-Montour Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #383 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: B C Cate Elementary School (239 students, 38% FRL); Odessa-Montour Junior/Senior High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 293 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Odessa-Montour Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Schuyler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuyler County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EHR55515FA8S8X
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29