3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,564 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,173/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$508/mo
Annual
$6,101/yr
Cap rate
15.68%
Cash-on-cash
33.52%
DSCR
2.49
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#427 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Wynne School District (town): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #96 of 238 in AR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wynne Intermediate School (math 43% / reading 35%, grade F, #221 of 454 statewide, top 49%, 571 students, 67% FRL); Wynne Junior High School (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 563 students, 60% FRL); Wynne High School (math 22% / reading 41%, grade F, #128 of 292 statewide, top 44%, 784 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Cross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cross County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 4.5% in Wynne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJCMQH19NJ1DJ0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29