309 King Ave E · Wynne, AR 72396

$65,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,564 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1966

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Sold as is. . Accepting offers now.

Key facts

• Built 1966
• Listed 37 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 4.5% in Wynne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#427 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
• Wynne School District (town): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #96 of 238 in AR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Cross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cross County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.81% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.52%
• DSCR: 2.49
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $139,196
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
624 Cleveland St	0.05mi	3/2.0	1,552 (-1%)	11mo	$105,000	$68	85
323 Martin Dr W	0.33mi	3/1.0	1,568 (+0%)	2mo	$121,000	$77	81
712 Wren	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,625 (+4%)	1mo	$247,000	$152	68
333 Levesque Ave	0.16mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,620 (+4%)	16mo	$100,000	$62	68
701 Cardinal Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,604 (+3%)	1mo	$280,000	$175	66
227 Harris St	0.19mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,732 (+11%)	12mo	$86,000	$50	56
1131 Ouida St	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,692 (+8%)	12mo	$145,500	$86	54
411 N Bruce	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,785 (+14%)	7mo	$264,000	$148	46
411 N Bruce St	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,785 (+14%)	7mo	$264,000	$148	43
702 Union Ave	0.52mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,395 (-11%)	12mo	$35,000	$25	42
815 E Forrest Ave	0.68mi	3/1.0	1,406 (-10%)	11mo	$125,000	$89	40
109 Eldridge Ct	0.63mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,770 (+13%)	4mo	$165,000	$93	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.20×
• Total profit: $21,845
• Equity at exit: $9,692

10-year hold

• IRR: 36.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.34×
• Total profit: $60,711
• Equity at exit: $5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72396

• Home prices YoY: -17.6%
• Active inventory: 99
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,173 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$341
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $607/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$246
• Net cashflow: $508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $530

Max offer price $65,000

Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $545	-5% $527	+0% $508	+5% $490	+10% $472
Rent	-10% $416	-5% $462	+0% $508	+5% $555	+10% $601
Rate	-1.0pp $541	-0.5pp $525	base $508	+0.5pp $492	+1.0pp $474

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,250
• Closing costs: $1,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
17. 2026-05-12
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $607 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $607 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,080
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,641
• − Property taxes: −$607
• − Insurance: −$325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,126
• − Management: −$1,126
• − Depreciation: −$1,891
• Taxable income: $5,363
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,287
• After-tax cash flow: $4,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wynne School District
• NCES district ID: 0514430
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,508
• Composite: 31.51/100
• National rank: #5970
• State rank: #96 of 238 in AR

Livability — Wynne

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #427
• US rank: #24166

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wynne, AR
• Population (ZIP): 12,854

Population outlook (Cross County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 16,293 people
• By 2030: 15,636 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 14,312 · -12.2%
• By 2050: 13,050 · -19.9%
• By 2075: 10,362 · -36.4%
• By 2100: 7,873 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2%
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cross

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.1% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -47.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+25.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -39.26%
• Current HPI: 184.1112
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $607 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.