1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
420 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$420
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$81/mo
Annual
$978/yr
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.88%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($978/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#253 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
Custer County School District Consolidate 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #55 of 176 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Custer County Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #469 of 966 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.5% in Silver Cliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Some wear visible on the walls.
Minor: Landscaping
— Sparse landscaping in the fenced yard.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJT2KEDY6CPFC2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29