3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,252 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$556/mo
Annual
$6,675/yr
Cap rate
18.43%
Cash-on-cash
43.34%
DSCR
2.93
1% rule
2.05%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 7.8% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EMFSZTBRAX66RM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29