412 W Harrison St · Mangum, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CHARMING BUNGALOW PRICED TO SELL! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers character and comfort. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch before stepping inside to a warm and inviting living room featuring beautiful original hardwood floors. One end of the living room showcases stunning knotty wood paneling with built-in bookshelves and a cozy fireplace with a metal insert heater. The living room flows seamlessly into the dining room, which also features the original hardwood floors. The kitchen includes wood cabinetry along with a gas stove, refrigerator, and microwave. The laundry room is a nice size and comes complete with a washer and dryer. The primary bedroom is carpeted and has its own p
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Knotty wood paneling
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single family; Legal addition: Powers 3rd; Directions: North on Louis Tittle, west on Harrison Street
- Financial info: Loan financing available (not assumable)
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level (single story); Existing property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof (roof year 2025); Combination foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Outbuildings; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Insert fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 7.8% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.34%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $55,088
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 W Polk St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,249 (-0%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $44 | 83 |
| 705 N Pennsylvania Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $86 | 81 |
| 412 N Kentucky Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-2%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $57 | 76 |
| 200 N Maryland Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (+6%) | 6mo | $49,500 | $37 | 72 |
| 314 N Maryland Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 9mo | $28,500 | $20 | 60 |
| 413 W Taylor St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-9%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 311 N Byers Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,318 (+5%) | 23mo | $47,700 | $36 | 56 |
| 325 W Harrison St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-15%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $38 | 50 |
| 214 E Van Buren St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+14%) | 7mo | $108,000 | $76 | 49 |
| 403 S Oklahoma Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (-1%) | 10mo | $14,000 | $11 | 48 |
| 210 N Louis Tittle Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,372 (+10%) | 13mo | $47,000 | $34 | 46 |
| 312 S Oklahoma Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+13%) | 15mo | $79,600 | $56 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $27,767
- Equity at exit
- $9,543
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.60×
- Total profit
- $70,854
- Equity at exit
- $7,094
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73554
- Home prices YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $287/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-13status Active
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-20$55,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $287 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$208/yr (+$17/mo · 72.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,542
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$287
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mangum
- NCES district ID
- 4018780
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,568
- Composite
- 22.85/100
- National rank
- #8012
- State rank
- #89 of 270 in OK
Livability — Mangum
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #13248
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mangum, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,361
Population outlook (Greer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,904 people
- By 2030
- 5,869 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 5,790 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 5,712 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 5,196 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 4,326 · -26.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Greer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.3pp toward R · 2008: -46.5pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+46.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.45%
- Current HPI
- 88.9252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-03-30 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-03-20 Listed $55,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $287 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…