1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
763 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,971/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$319
HOA
−$381
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$-585/mo
Annual
$-7,020/yr
Cap rate
3.74%
Cash-on-cash
-9.12%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-585 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (37.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $275k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EMQEYQ1HKDXP00
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29