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2001 Club Center Dr #8126
D- Composite 39.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$275,000

2001 Club Center Dr #8126 · Sacramento, CA 95835
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 763 sqft · Condo public records · 20 Days on market
Built 2006 $360/sqft · at area comps Est $286k · at est. $381/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautiful condo located in the highly desirable Regency Park Condo Complex in Natomas! This charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a bright and inviting floor plan that blends comfort and functionality. The spacious bedroom features two walk-in closet, while the kitchen is complete with granite countertops, abundant cabinetry, and generous counter space perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The open-concept living and dining area creates a warm and welcoming atmosphere, with direct access to a private balcony where you can relax and unwind after a long day. A 1-car garage and conveniently located in-garage laundry provide added everyday convenience. Residents o

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Private balcony
  • Pool

Tags

REGENCY PARK CONDO COMPLEXWALK-IN CLOSETGRANITE COUNTERTOPSPRIVATE BALCONYHOA AMENITIESPOOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Monthly HOA fee; HOA includes grounds maintenance, security, trash and pool; Community pool (common facility) and membership fee required; Private pool and built-in spa on site

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage with garage door opener; Garage located on lower level
  • Utilities: 220V in laundry; Public water; Public sewer; Public irrigation district
  • Home design: Condominium (attached); 3-story; Built in 2006
  • Construction: Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Low maintenance lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower over
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Formal entry; Granite counters in kitchen; Dining and living room combo
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-585 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (37.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (28.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 402 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $275k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $171,652 (37.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
3.74%
Cash-on-cash
-9.12%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,706
List price
$275,000
Delta
-3.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.18% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$94,408
Equity at exit
$231,555
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
4.88×
Total profit
$298,535
Equity at exit
$483,078

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95835

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
402
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,971 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,452/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$381
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$414
Net cashflow
$-585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,711
Max offer price $171,652
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-429 -5% $-507 +0% $-585 +5% $-663 +10% $-741
Rent -10% $-741 -5% $-663 +0% $-585 +5% $-507 +10% $-429
Rate -1.0pp $-447 -0.5pp $-515 base $-585 +0.5pp $-656 +1.0pp $-729

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1850 Club Center Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 985 $1,750 $1.78 2d 9 0.23mi
1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 873 $1,772 $2.03 44d 2 0.25mi
1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 1015 $2,048 $2.02 5d 2 0.25mi
4850 Natomas Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $1,800 $2.15 2d 17 0.75mi
4601 Blackrock Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,985 $2.11 2d 7 1.14mi
4500 Truxel Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,822 $1.82 2d 22 1.25mi
4800 Kokomo Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1229 $1,994 $1.62 2d 26 1.27mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$381 · $4,572/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2015-07-31
    soldstatus $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,452 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,452 · $204/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,651
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,452
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,892
− Management
−$1,892
− HOA
−$4,572
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$11,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,865
After-tax cash flow
$-4,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natomas Unified
NCES district ID
0600036
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 13.00%
Median HH income
$67,969
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3457
State rank
#155 of 517 in CA

Livability — Sacramento

Score
71/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#6957

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sacramento, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
761,410
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,004
Household income
$114,468
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1234.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 30% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.18%
Current HPI
271.4823
Rent YoY
▲ 1.43%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,452 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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