4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,552 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$262/yr
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.67%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($262/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (1.8% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $137k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Susquehanna Community SD (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #364 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EN2FEP7X71TH4F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29