3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,432 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Townhouse
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$294
HOA
−$262
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-25/mo
Annual
$-304/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-304/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#102 in MN, #2,300 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety F.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Wilson Elementary (math 38% / reading 49%, grade F, #569 of 857 statewide, top 67%, 560 students, 55% FRL); Anoka Middle School For The Arts (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #138 of 258 statewide, top 55%, 1,678 students, 44% FRL); Anoka High School (math 26% / reading 63%, grade F, #189 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 2,322 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $161k; list at $245k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Anoka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ENB2D9FZXD2AV6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29