3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,086 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,167/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$905
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$-120/mo
Annual
$-1,439/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.98%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$48,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (12.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (32.3% below list).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#148 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Desoto Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 98 in LA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mansfield Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #333 of 646 statewide, top 54%, 570 students, 78% FRL); Mansfield Middle School (math 12% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 218 statewide, top 69%, 382 students, 82% FRL); Mansfield High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 376 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 59% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in De Soto Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
De Soto County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ENH7154AZGRFZJ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29