128 Honeysuckle Dr · Mansfield, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$172,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR SPECIAL * this home had a leak under the hall bathroom sink which soaked the flooring * Seller is unable to do repairs * for sale AS IS * no repairs by seller * make offer * Otherwise. .. .Very nice family home located on a spacious lot with lush landscaping * 3 spacious bedrooms with great closet space plus 2 full bathrooms * Cathedral ceiling in the den * wood burning stove in the fireplace remains * Kitchen features dishwasher, refrigerator and electric range * fully fenced backyard * Covered patio off the den * Recently replaced HVAC system * Workshop in the backyard is large and has a lot of storage * located in nice area with brick homes on spacious lots * If you a
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Covered patio
- Woodburning stove
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (12.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (32.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#148 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 98 in LA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mansfield Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #333 of 646 statewide, top 54%, 570 students, 78% FRL); Mansfield Middle School (math 12% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 218 statewide, top 69%, 382 students, 82% FRL); Mansfield High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 376 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 59% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in De Soto Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- De Soto County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.98%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,568
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Honeysuckle Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,086 (0%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $83 | 99 |
| 109 Honeysuckle Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (-13%) | 20mo | $199,999 | $110 | 56 |
| 1506 Regina St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 2,317 (+11%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $88 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $86,236
- Equity at exit
- $155,402
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $259,807
- Equity at exit
- $335,130
Cash invested: $48,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71052
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$905
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $785/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $-120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-22 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-212 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-28 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-33 | -0.5pp $-76 | base $-120 | +0.5pp $-165 | +1.0pp $-210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,125
- Closing costs
- $5,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-02status Pending
-
2026-03-15status Active
-
2025-11-14status Pending
-
2025-11-13status Active
-
2025-10-05price $172,500
-
2025-08-21$182,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $785 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,663
- − Property taxes
- −$785
- − Insurance
- −$862
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$5,018
- Taxable loss
- −$4,564
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $-344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200510
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,201
- Composite
- 34.75/100
- National rank
- #5130
- State rank
- #21 of 98 in LA
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #12840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,827
Population outlook (De Soto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,142 people
- By 2030
- 28,546 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 29,357 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 30,239 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 33,412 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 35,428 · +25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 26% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Serbian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · De Soto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.8% · R 67.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -35.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.5 2020: R+24.8 2016: R+21.5 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 63.44%
- Current HPI
- 241.27
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-5.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-15 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-11-13 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-05 Price Changed $172,500 NTREIS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $182,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $785 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…