2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 360 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$561/mo
Annual
$6,734/yr
Cap rate
14.71%
Cash-on-cash
30.06%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #105 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 492 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 760 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $67k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 5.5% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Metal roof may need inspection for leaks or damage.
Major: exterior siding
— Siding appears weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
Major: windows
— Windows may need cleaning or replacement.
Major: flooring
— Hardwood flooring looks worn and may need refinishing or replacement.
Major: interior walls
— Paint appears chipped and may need touch-up or repainting.
Major: HVAC system
— HVAC system may need maintenance or replacement.
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