93 Topez Dr · Cherokee Village, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FULLY FURNISHED, Really cute 2, bedroom 2 bath home in the heart of Cherokee Village. One car carport. Central heat and air, 2 water heaters, one electric and one gas. there is a garage door on the lower level in the back along with a large, covered carport area. Inside the garage is a workshop with some tools. There is a Solar System on site just waiting to have the installation completed. Batteries, inverter and solar panels on site. There is a fenced in garden area in the back and the makings of a rainwater catchment system is started. This is a great opportunity for a fully move-in ready home, all furnishings, appliances, dishes stay. It can use a little clean up but for this price it is an incredible opportunity as a starter home. To be sold As-Is. Make an appointment today to see this place.
Key facts
- One car carport
- Solar system
- Workshop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.1% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #105 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 492 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 802 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 139d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $67k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.09%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,336
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -40.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Topez Dr | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (-8%) | 8mo | $112,750 | $103 | 73 |
| 6 S Hileah Trce | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (-2%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $106 | 66 |
| 131 Okmulgee Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,164 (-3%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $82 | 65 |
| 57 Winnebago Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-15%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 5 Winnebago Cir | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,024 (-15%) | 13mo | $138,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 175 Cherokee Rd | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (-8%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 9 Pima Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $115 | 45 |
| 22 Ozoo Cir | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,068 (-11%) | 20mo | $80,000 | $75 | 37 |
| 114 Cherokee Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 | 1,027 (-14%) | 11mo | $144,900 | $141 | 36 |
| 25 Tishimingo Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,376 (+15%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $193 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $15,639
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $50,351
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.8 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $155,000 ($133/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 81 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -16.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72529
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 802
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $164/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $495 | -5% $472 | +0% $450 | +5% $336 | +10% $308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $404 | +0% $450 | +5% $495 | +10% $541 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $490 | -0.5pp $470 | base $450 | +0.5pp $429 | +1.0pp $408 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 139d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 128 W Lakeshore Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 139d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 13 Duroc Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $750 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 55 Merrimac Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $80,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $80,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $80,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $80,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $80,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $80,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $80,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $80,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $80,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $80,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $80,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $80,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $80,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $80,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $80,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $80,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $80,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $80,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $80,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $80,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $80,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $80,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $80,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $80,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $80,000 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $80,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $80,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $80,000 Active 371 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $80,000 Active 370 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $80,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $80,000 Active 368 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $80,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $80,000 Active 366 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $80,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $80,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $80,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $80,000 Active 362 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $80,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $80,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $80,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $80,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $80,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $80,000 Active 345 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $164 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 212.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$164
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,113
- − Management
- −$1,113
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,036
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including roof, exterior, interior, and HVAC systems. Improvements in these areas will significantly enhance its value for resale or rental.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,500–$152,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be old and possibly not sealed properly
- Major Electrical (electrical) — Exposed wiring and missing insulation in the attic
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Exposed plumbing and missing insulation in the attic
- Major Exterior (exterior) — Exterior siding appears to be peeling and possibly damaged
- Major Other — General wear and tear on the house, including missing insulation and exposed wiring
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Metal roof may need inspection for leaks or damage.
- Major exterior siding — Siding appears weathered and may need repainting or replacement.
- Major windows — Windows may need cleaning or replacement.
- Major flooring — Hardwood flooring looks worn and may need refinishing or replacement.
- Major interior walls — Paint appears chipped and may need touch-up or repainting.
- Major HVAC system — HVAC system may need maintenance or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and refinish exterior and interior — Fresh paint and refinishing will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and comfort, making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cherokee Village
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #17211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cherokee Village, AR
- County
- Fulton · 16,170 people
- City population
- 5,090
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,090
- Household income
- $35,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 182.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+165.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-22 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-09-29 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
- 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CARMLS
- 2020-08-30 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-08-12 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2020-08-05 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-07-15 Price Changed $29,800 CARMLS
- 2020-07-10 Price Changed $32,000 CARMLS
- 2020-06-26 Price Changed $34,900 CARMLS
- 2020-06-04 Listed $39,800 CARMLS
- 2011-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 1997-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $164 · -37.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…