6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,500 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 348 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,634/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$973
Net cashflow
$1,277/mo
Annual
$15,320/yr
Cap rate
10.73%
Cash-on-cash
15.86%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $638/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).
It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: schools D+, housing D+, crime F.
Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $205k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EPNWGHC93KENTW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29