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🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$345,000

502 Irvine Turner Blvd · Newark, NJ 07108-2465
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · MultiFamily · 348 Days on market
2,178 sqft lot Est $678k · 49% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Check out this ready to go Mixed Use Duplex! The first floor unit is tenant occupied with 5 yrs remaining on a 15 yr lease w/ a 10 year option. The commercial tenant pays $1,550 in rent currently. The upstairs 3 BR, 1 bath apartment is renovated and vacant ready to be leased. This property will require a commercial loan if buyer is using financing. Seller is motivated! Amazing location in close proximity to 78. Come check out this great investment property today!

Key facts

  • Duplex
  • Freshly renovated
  • 2,178 sq ft lot

Tags

DUPLEXFRESHLY RENOVATEDGREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTYCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 78

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $345,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$677,500) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $638/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: schools D+, housing D+, crime F.
  • Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $205k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $303,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.73%
Cash-on-cash
15.86%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$677,500
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
159 Milford Ave 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,850 (+14%) 6mo $575,000 $202 58
120 Elizabeth Ave 0.38mi 6/4.5 2,772 (+11%) 20mo $750,000 $271 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$122,940
Equity at exit
$155,127
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$323,853
Equity at exit
$239,069

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City Newark
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+59
Rent control + strict just-cause.

ZIP-level market 07108-2465

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,634 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax est. 1.5%
$431 /mo · $5,175/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$973
Net cashflow
$1,277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,018
Max offer price $345,000
Occupancy floor 67%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,634

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 Milford Ave Unit 1 Newark, NJ 5.0 3.0 1800 $3,049 $1.69 17d 1 0.30mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-02-18
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-01-20
    price $345,000
  3. 2025-12-28
    price $375,000
  4. 2025-10-23
    price $400,000
  5. 2025-08-28
    price $450,000
  6. 2025-06-19
    price $499,000
  7. 2025-04-15
    price $525,000
  8. 2025-03-07
    listed $550,000 Active
  9. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus $399,000 Sold
  10. 2022-06-02
    historical
  11. 2022-04-29
    price $399,000
  12. 2022-04-14
    listed $450,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,608
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$5,175
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,449
− Management
−$4,449
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable income
$10,449
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,508
After-tax cash flow
$12,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newark Public School District
NCES district ID
3411340
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
14.24/100
National rank
#9449
State rank
#452 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Newark

Score
67/100
State rank
#343
US rank
#11138

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D- Housing D+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, NJ

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
825,042 people
By 2030
834,010 · +1.1%
By 2040
846,221 · +2.6%
By 2050
850,047 · +3.0%
By 2075
837,009 · +1.5%
By 2100
784,345 · -4.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Pending GSMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $345,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-12-28 Price Changed $375,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $400,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $450,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $499,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-04-15 Price Changed $525,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Listed $550,000 GSMLS
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) $399,000 GSMLS
  • 2022-06-02 Delisted GSMLS
  • 2022-04-29 Price Changed $399,000 GSMLS
  • 2022-04-14 Listed $450,000 GSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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