502 Irvine Turner Blvd · Newark, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Check out this ready to go Mixed Use Duplex! The first floor unit is tenant occupied with 5 yrs remaining on a 15 yr lease w/ a 10 year option. The commercial tenant pays $1,550 in rent currently. The upstairs 3 BR, 1 bath apartment is renovated and vacant ready to be leased. This property will require a commercial loan if buyer is using financing. Seller is motivated! Amazing location in close proximity to 78. Come check out this great investment property today!
Key facts
- Duplex
- Freshly renovated
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $638/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).
- Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: schools D+, housing D+, crime F.
- Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $205k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.86%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $677,500
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 Milford Ave | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,850 (+14%) | 6mo | $575,000 | $202 | 58 |
| 120 Elizabeth Ave | 0.38mi | 6/4.5 | 2,772 (+11%) | 20mo | $750,000 | $271 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $122,940
- Equity at exit
- $155,127
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $323,853
- Equity at exit
- $239,069
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Newark
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+59
ZIP-level market 07108-2465
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$431 /mo · $5,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$973
- Net cashflow
- $1,277
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $4,634 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,317 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $2,317 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,634 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Milford Ave Unit 1 Newark, NJ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,049 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 12 events
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2026-02-18status Under Contract
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2026-01-20price $345,000
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2025-12-28price $375,000
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2025-10-23price $400,000
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2025-08-28price $450,000
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2025-06-19price $499,000
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2025-04-15price $525,000
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2025-03-07$550,000 Active
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2022-08-26soldstatus $399,000 Sold
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2022-06-02historical
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2022-04-29price $399,000
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2022-04-14$450,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$5,175
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,449
- − Management
- −$4,449
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable income
- $10,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newark Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411340
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,891
- Composite
- 14.24/100
- National rank
- #9449
- State rank
- #452 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #11138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newark, NJ
Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 825,042 people
- By 2030
- 834,010 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 846,221 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 850,047 · +3.0%
- By 2075
- 837,009 · +1.5%
- By 2100
- 784,345 · -4.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-23.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Pending — GSMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $345,000 GSMLS
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $375,000 GSMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $400,000 GSMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $450,000 GSMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $499,000 GSMLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $525,000 GSMLS
- 2025-03-07 Listed $550,000 GSMLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) $399,000 GSMLS
- 2022-06-02 Delisted — GSMLS
- 2022-04-29 Price Changed $399,000 GSMLS
- 2022-04-14 Listed $450,000 GSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…