3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,409 sqft ·
Built 1952
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,608/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$272
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$-137/mo
Annual
$-1,650/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.49%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (14.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#262 in NY, #4,134 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
Plattsburgh City School District (town): math 33% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #484 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $125k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.8% in Plattsburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29