7 Alana Way Way · Plattsburgh, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice end unit townhouse in Lake Country Village, ideally located on a cul-de-sac. The spacious living room offers direct access to the back patio and yard, great for relaxing or entertaining. Kitchen has stainless appliances and ample storage and counter space. A convenient half bath is located on the main floor. Upstairs, the primary bedroom features an attached bath, accompanied by two additional bedrooms and a full bath. The home also includes a 1-car attached garage for added convenience. Close to shopping and restaurants.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Stainless appliances
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (14.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.8% in Plattsburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#262 in NY, #4,134 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Plattsburgh City School District (town): math 33% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #484 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $125k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.49%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,350
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Maine Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,409 (0%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $142 | 92 |
| 82 Maryland Road Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+3%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $193 | 80 |
| 3 Maryland Road Rd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+3%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $172 | 79 |
| 109 Maine Rd Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,451 (+3%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $165 | 77 |
| 99 Maine Road Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,496 (+6%) | 11mo | $289,995 | $194 | 70 |
| 38 Maryland Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,549 (+10%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $150 | 70 |
| 7 Baltimore Way | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,549 (+10%) | 6mo | $208,000 | $134 | 68 |
| 48 Maryland Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,549 (+10%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 61 Maryland Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,549 (+10%) | 15mo | $222,000 | $143 | 65 |
| 45 Maine Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,547 (+10%) | 17mo | $189,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 32 Maryland Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,549 (+10%) | 18mo | $195,500 | $126 | 63 |
| 37 Kansas Ave Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,496 (+6%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $137 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-743
- Equity at exit
- $62,674
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $26,413
- Equity at exit
- $87,285
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12903
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,415/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $-137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-42 | -5% $-90 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-185 | +10% $-233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-265 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-137 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-52 | -0.5pp $-94 | base $-137 | +0.5pp $-181 | +1.0pp $-226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-07price $169,000
-
2026-03-16price $179,000
-
2026-02-09price $189,000
-
2026-01-06price $199,000
-
2025-11-14$209,000 Active
-
2006-12-08soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,415 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,635 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$221/yr (+$18/mo · 9.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,415
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$4,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,064
- After-tax cash flow
- $-586/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plattsburgh City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,322
- Composite
- 36.61/100
- National rank
- #4626
- State rank
- #484 of 590 in NY
Livability — Plattsburgh
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #4134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plattsburgh, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,740
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,791 people
- By 2030
- 76,848 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,579 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 66,471 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 57,361 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 47,232 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Romanian 7% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.56%
- Current HPI
- 163.3688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+35.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — ACVMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $169,000 ACVMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $179,000 ACVMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $189,000 ACVMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $199,000 ACVMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $209,000 ACVMLS
- 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,415 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…