4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,461/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$349
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$265/yr
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.32%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($265/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (18.0% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $246k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eliza Hart Spalding Stem Academy (math 65% / reading 65%, grade B+, #41 of 357 statewide, top 12%, 678 students, 17% FRL); Lewis & Clark Middle School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade B-, #20 of 109 statewide, top 19%, 882 students, 32% FRL); Centennial High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 1,931 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $128k; list at $300k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQB0N13Y9WMNM3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29