2983 N Tattenham · Boise City, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($265/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eliza Hart Spalding Stem Academy (math 65% / reading 65%, grade B+, #41 of 357 statewide, top 12%, 678 students, 17% FRL); Lewis & Clark Middle School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade B-, #20 of 109 statewide, top 19%, 882 students, 32% FRL); Centennial High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 1,931 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $300k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.32%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $524,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3485 Tumbleweed Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,106 (+1%) | 2mo | $542,500 | $258 | 78 |
| 12322 W Abram Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,117 (+2%) | 3mo | $524,990 | $248 | 75 |
| 3142 N Sharon Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,037 (-2%) | 2mo | $489,000 | $240 | 64 |
| 11962 Musket Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,026 (-3%) | 3mo | $399,900 | $197 | 60 |
| 11972 W Stillwater Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,045 (-2%) | 1mo | $499,900 | $244 | 57 |
| 11453 W Glen Ellyn Ct | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,909 (-8%) | 4mo | $465,000 | $244 | 55 |
| 4141 E Chandler St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 1,893 (-9%) | 4mo | $449,900 | $238 | 50 |
| 2164/2166 N Wildwood St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (-8%) | 1mo | $549,900 | $286 | 49 |
| 12169 W Ginger Creek Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,301 (+11%) | 4mo | $579,700 | $252 | 49 |
| 3994 N Creswell Ln | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,301 (+11%) | 4mo | $595,800 | $259 | 48 |
| 12159 W Ginger Creek Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,910 (-8%) | 4mo | $514,050 | $269 | 46 |
| 2818 N Sharon Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,863 (-10%) | 6mo | $498,000 | $267 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-44,734
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-26,784
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83713
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,461 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $192 | -5% $107 | +0% $22 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-172 | -5% $-75 | +0% $22 | +5% $119 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $173 | -0.5pp $98 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-56 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12018 W Abram St Boise, ID | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2342 | $2,695 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 11274 W Race St Boise, ID | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1744 | $2,150 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3543 E Tecate Ln Meridian, ID | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,975 | $1.41 | 16d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 3006 N Leblanc Way Meridian, ID | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,095 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2792 N Leblanc Way Meridian, ID | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1730 | $2,095 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 13426 W Acorn St Boise, ID | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3710 N Centrepoint Way Meridian, ID | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1527 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 5d | 2 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-22$300,000
-
2018-05-17soldstatus Sold
-
2018-05-15soldstatus
-
2018-04-24status Pending
-
2018-04-20price $238,000
-
2018-04-19status Active
-
2018-04-17status Pending
-
2018-03-29$244,900 Active
-
2012-06-01soldstatus
-
2011-07-01$127,000
-
2010-09-14$158,800
-
2001-08-01soldstatus
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $127,500
-
2001-05-21$129,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,690 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,690 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,363
- − Management
- −$2,363
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$4,911
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,179
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Joint School District No. 2
- NCES district ID
- 1602100
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,573
- Composite
- 52.42/100
- National rank
- #1576
- State rank
- #11 of 92 in ID
Livability — Boise City
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boise City, ID
- County
- Ada County · 522,161 people
- City population
- 152,689
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,549
- Household income
- $91,295
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 805.0
Population outlook (Ada County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 535,818 people
- By 2030
- 585,751 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 682,435 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 775,818 · +44.8%
- By 2075
- 994,458 · +85.6%
- By 2100
- 1,148,884 · +114.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ada
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.3) · D 43.4% · R 53.8% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -10.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.3 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+9.2 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.31%
- Current HPI
- 338.9271
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
+130.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $300,000 IMLS
- 2018-05-17 Sold (MLS) — IMLS
- 2018-05-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-24 Pending — IMLS
- 2018-04-20 Price Changed $238,000 IMLS
- 2018-04-19 Relisted — IMLS
- 2018-04-17 Pending — IMLS
- 2018-03-29 Listed $244,900 IMLS
- 2012-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-07-01 Listed $127,000 IMLS
- 2010-09-14 Listed $158,800 IMLS
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records
- 2001-08-01 Sold (MLS) — IMLS
- 2001-05-21 Listed $129,900 IMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,690 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…