4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,985 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$559
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$29/mo
Annual
$342/yr
Cap rate
10.62%
Cash-on-cash
15.46%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($342/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#944 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
Genesee Valley Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #453 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $95k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQC1HZ0WHXX3R0
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29