187 W Main St · Angelica, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $946 – $6,584
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Includes 5 bedrooms, 1 bath, kitchen, spacious living room and mudroom. Majority of the downstairs floors are beautifully designed hardwood. Enjoy the large wrap-around porch and the large backyard for family gatherings. The Village of Angelica has a park with a basketball court and playground for the kids. Also, the Village has many craft stores, antique stores, and pottery shops, along with several events throughout the year.
Key facts
- Usable yard space
- Updated full bath
- Updated cupboards
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Resale property
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing (previously built) structure; Stone foundation
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot; Road frontage on a city street; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 269
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Gravity heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($342/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#944 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
- Genesee Valley Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #453 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $95k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.46%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,400
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 W Main St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,788 (-10%) | 9mo | $115,900 | $65 | 64 |
| 47 Mechanic St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 | 1,788 (-10%) | 14mo | $30,000 | $17 | 55 |
| 106 Mechanic St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,782 (-10%) | 20mo | $72,000 | $40 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $12,476
- Equity at exit
- $41,565
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $43,552
- Equity at exit
- $63,210
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14709
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $55 | +0% $29 | +5% $2 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-80 | -5% $-26 | +0% $29 | +5% $83 | +10% $137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $53 | base $29 | +0.5pp $4 | +1.0pp $-21 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$4,240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable loss
- −$938
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Genesee Valley Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600017
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,704
- Composite
- 45.0/100
- National rank
- #5858
- State rank
- #453 of 755 in NY
Livability — Angelica
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #944
- US rank
- #18364
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angelica, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,190
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.79%
- Current HPI
- 270.867
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+72.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2022-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-10 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-03-22 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
- 2017-06-13 Sold (MLS) $54,900 CNYIS
- 2017-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 2017-03-30 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2017-01-16 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
- 2016-12-23 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-12-23 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
- 2014-02-27 Listed $64,900 WNYREIS
- 2012-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WNYREIS
- 2012-01-16 Listed $74,900 WNYREIS
- 2008-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,474 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…