3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,150
Tax + insurance
−$540
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$672
Net cashflow
$-162/mo
Annual
$-1,939/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.69%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$114,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $410k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-81/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $381k (7.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($404k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in RI, #4,293 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Lincoln (suburban): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #13 of 39 in RI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.3% in Valley Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQT3QQ3C92XBM2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29