9 bd · 9.0 ba ·
7,336 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 862 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$29,033/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$11,406
Tax + insurance
−$2,570
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,097
Net cashflow
$8,960/mo
Annual
$107,516/yr
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.65%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$609,028
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/2ba + 1×2bd/1.5ba + 7×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.18M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive. Per door: $996/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $2.18M).
It's been on market 862 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.91M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.91M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $65k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#178 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Santa Monica-Malibu Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #123 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary (403 students, 34% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 854 students, 22% FRL); Santa Monica High (2,678 students, 30% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 68% district-wide (-43 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Santa Monica-Malibu Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $575k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $609k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 1.3% in Santa Monica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit runs 41% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 862 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Moderate: exterior walls
— The exterior walls are in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Moderate: flooring
— The flooring appears to be in fair condition, with some wear and tear visible.
Moderate: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear visible.
Major: HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible rust and wear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ER4W8G666W3QCB
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29